Dallas Forecast Discussion

113
FXUS64 KFWD 261015
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
515 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Heat Advisory remains in effect across much of North Texas
  into eastern Central Texas from 12 PM to 8 PM today.

- Hot and rain-free weather will persist through the upcoming
  week with triple digit temperatures becoming more widespread by
  Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1246 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

With the upper level ridge staying put on Sunday, expect
increasingly warm and humid conditions to prevail over the end of
the weekend. Under southerly winds and mostly sunny skies,
afternoon high temperatures will peak in the mid 90s to around 102
degrees. Dewpoints in the 60s and 70s will keep peak heat indices
a few degrees above ambient temperatures, ranging between 97 to
109. The current Heat Advisory remains in effect from 12 PM to 8
PM today for most of North Texas and eastern Central Texas. Make
sure to stay cool and hydrated, and avoid excess time outside
during the heat of the day.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 1246 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

For much of this week, expect a rinse-wash-repeat of daily hot
and humid conditions. The upper-level ridge is expected to remain
planted over much of the western and central CONUS, leading to
increasing temperatures and heat indices as we enter the beginning
of August. Afternoon highs will again peak in the upper 90s to
around 104-105 by Tuesday, with heat indices ranging between
100-110 most days. Additional Heat Advisories will be likely each
day through much of this upcoming week, so continue to take
precautions against the heat to avoid heat illness! During the
overnight periods, little relief is in sight as overnight lows
bottom out in the mid 70s to low-mid 80s for much of this
upcoming week.

Long-range guidance continue to show the upper-level trough over
the eastern CONUS digging further south/southwest, shunting the
ridge further into the Desert Southwest over the first few days of
August. With North and Central Texas sandwiched between the ridge
and trough, this may set the stage for a couple of minute
disturbances to move overtop the region, shaving of a few degrees
off of afternoon highs going into next weekend. However, the
latest CPC Day 8-14 Outlook still favors above normal temperatures
through the first week of August. There is still uncertainty on
exact temperatures and whether or not any precipitation will
accompany the disturbances, so continue to check back through this
upcoming week as more details become available.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 514 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Over the next 24-30 hours, VFR and southerly winds around 11 kt
or less will prevail at all TAF sites, with occasional higher
gusts this afternoon. Some occasional cirrus and diurnal cumulus
will be observed at/near the airports over the period, but should
cause no impacts.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth   102  81 103  81 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                98  78  99  78 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               97  76  98  77 /   0   0   0   0
Denton             102  79 102  80 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney           101  79 101  80 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas             102  81 103  82 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             99  77 100  78 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           99  78 100  78 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              97  76  98  76 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells      101  75 102  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for
TXZ091>095-100>107-116>123-131>135-146>148-162.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Prater
LONG TERM....Prater
AVIATION...Prater

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion